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Dr. Aaron Lerner is co-founder of IMRA, Independent Media Review and Analysis, an Israel-based news organization which provides an extensive digest of media, polls and significant interviews and events relating to the Israeli-Arab conflict.
imra@netvision.net.il
Previous views
The Landau Candidacy
What President Katzav Could Have Said
False disengagement assertions
Israel Police to deny basic rights inside Green Line?
Israeli Police Commissioner and IDF Chief of Staff fail under pressure
Post-retreat issues that cannot be ignored
Deadly cliches of retreat
Sharon isn't fiddling as Israel burns
Will disengagement really take place?
The Demographic Problem: Excuse Of last resort for a Palestinian State
Sharon's visit to America misses chance to set diplomatic agenda
I have no other country, despite disengagement
Has Israel's Military Intelligence chief gone soft on Egypt?
Israeli complacency in the face of anti-aircraft missiles
3 Weeks: A crucial delay?
Negotiating with the Palestinians with eyes wide open
Israel needs more than a photo-op at the Bush ranch
Will Sharon prepare for post-retreat era?
Mordechai's warning

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Egyptian guards find weapons tunnel under Gaza border
Views: The Settler as Scapegoat
Hamas leader prays to Allah and celebrates victory of terror in synagogue
Analysis: The inside story of why the Gush Katif synagogues were destroyed
Views: Let's twist again, like we did all summer

 
Has Israeli deterrence become a farce?
By Dr. Aaron Lerner   September 16, 2005


The porous Egypt-Gaza border. (AP)
 
Is post-retreat Israel seen by its neighbors as a bold nation that has taken its future into its own hands or a farce?

Egypt weighed in on this question loud and clear when Egypt's Ambassador to Israel, Mohamed Assem, assured Israelis in an interview broadcast on Israel Radio's noon news magazine that they should not be concerned about the smuggling of weapons from Egypt to Gaza during the border security hiatus since "there are enough weapons in Gaza as it is."

The Palestinians certainly haven't hidden their perception of Israel: Palestinian officials now openly admit that weapons and drugs have poured into Gaza through the open border with Egypt -- but only the drugs are being seized.

But, then again, why should we be surprised? The Sharon team is also treating the Jewish State as a farce.

None of what has transpired since the retreat has had an impact on policy. If anything, pre-retreat strong talk from the Sharon team with regards to post-retreat security and security arrangements has deteriorated to mumbled vague threats liberally mixed with candid admissions that Israel has no intention to actually take serious and substantial action on the ground if its warnings are not heeded or its requirements are not met.

The appointment of Vice Prime Minister Shimon Peres, a man whose cavalier attitude towards Israel's security concerns during the course of Oslo made him the subject of ridicule, to be responsible for negotiating security arrangements at the ports and passages only serves to confirm that Israel's neighbors are right.

Since the Peres appointment there are official Palestinian indications that Israel may not even be consulted -- let alone have a hand -- in vital security arrangements.

It isn't good for any nation to be perceived as a farce. In Israel's neighborhood it's doubly dangerous.

Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.


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