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Dr. Aaron Lerner is co-founder of IMRA, Independent Media Review and Analysis, an Israel-based news organization which provides an extensive digest of media, polls and significant interviews and events relating to the Israeli-Arab conflict.
imra@netvision.net.il
Previous views
Difference between Sharon-Peres and Netanyahu or Landau is fundamental
Has Israeli deterrence become a farce?
The Landau Candidacy
What President Katzav Could Have Said
False disengagement assertions
Israel Police to deny basic rights inside Green Line?
Israeli Police Commissioner and IDF Chief of Staff fail under pressure
Post-retreat issues that cannot be ignored
Deadly cliches of retreat
Sharon isn't fiddling as Israel burns
Will disengagement really take place?
The Demographic Problem: Excuse Of last resort for a Palestinian State
Sharon's visit to America misses chance to set diplomatic agenda
I have no other country, despite disengagement
Has Israel's Military Intelligence chief gone soft on Egypt?
Israeli complacency in the face of anti-aircraft missiles
3 Weeks: A crucial delay?
Negotiating with the Palestinians with eyes wide open
Israel needs more than a photo-op at the Bush ranch

Views: Ariel Sharon, Again
Sharon narrowly wins procedural battle, but Likud leadership "war" looms
Sharon is speechless after mike doesn't work, storms out of Likud meeting
Poll: Sharon 39% vs. Netanyahu 28%
PM Sharon meets U.S. supporters in bid to beat Netanyahu in primaries
Haaretz poll: Support for Netanyahu (still) greater than that for Sharon
Views: A Winning Platform
Bibi announces candidacy as Likud leadership battle gets intensely personal
Likud primaries likely in late November, way paved for Netanyahu

 
What did the Likud Central Committee vote mean?
By Dr. Aaron Lerner   October 3, 2005


There is no question that many relatives of Likud Central Committee members breathed a sigh of relief knowing that their direct line to the teats of the Israeli budget, patronage jobs etc. would not be cut short by early primaries.

But the vote was also certainly affected by its transformation into a Netanyahu-Sharon issue in many people's eyes, something problematic when Mr. Netanyahu's flip-flop over retreat (the Arutz 7 internet radio station news magazine features also voice clip of Netanyahu, only months ago, proclaiming his support for it) served to cloud the meaning of the vote.

Thus with world leaders pitching in with their voting recommendations -- and a full court press by the Israeli media to label anyone who does not embrace Sharon's retreat and postponement of the Likud primaries as a wacko whose views don't deserve consideration (and possibly worse since the "extremist" label was liberally used -- and there is no telling what the future may hold for "extremists") with the added well-timed mysterious silenced mike
incident it is a surprise that the vote was so close.

What happens now?

Given that the Sharon team is genuinely clueless as to what they are actually going to do in the face of post retreat challenges and instead is engaged in a series of shots from the hip and lips (while Mr. Peres works busily in the background on arrangements for Palestinian ports etc.) it is hard to project what will happen.

Hard to project -- yes. That is, it is hard to project, unfortunately, just how bad it can get.

What with all this going on to the ultimate detriment of the Likud it is extremely unfortunate that the National Union appears determined to avoid making a substantial electoral gain from the situation. To accommodate such questionable vote getters as Effie Eitam, the top secular
MK in the Party, Arieh Eldad, has been pushed down -- rather than advanced -- in the list of Knesset candidates.

One may ridicule the Likud Central Committee members for putting self-interest ahead of that of the nation. But, unfortunately, the ranking in the National Union list reflects just as poorly on that party.

Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.


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