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Moshe Feiglin is head of the Jewish Leadership faction in the Likud and can be reached via the Jewish Leadership web site.
manhigut@manhigut.org
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Days of Remembrance, Independence and Fear
Why I decided not to run
The Key to Victory is Jewish Identity
The Likud and the Jewish Agenda
Patty Hearst Makes Aliyah
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Separating the Grandmas from the Wolves
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The cost of independence
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Two meetings
Refusing to Obey Orders
The price of freedom
Remembering Auschwitz, preparing for expulsion
To the heroes of Gush Katif
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This Chanukah, Israeli democracy was suspended
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Who's Going to Win?
By Moshe Feiglin   July 25, 2006


The Army of Allah (in Arabic, Hezbollah) is attacking us from the north and south. Facing the primitive Army of Allah is a super-sophisticated and pragmatic fighting force. The Arab is fighting for his God, his goal is victory and he has all the self-sacrifice and patience in the world. The Jew is fighting for a little bit of peace and quiet. His goal is to "deter" the Hezbollah and his patience is short. Who's going to win?

Attacks from the air can reduce the number of Katyushas daily being fired at Israel from about 100 to ... let's say 10 or even 1. The Hizballah terrorist will fire just one rocket per day before he is destroyed by our pilots. Once a week: a katyusha on Haifa, one on Tiberias, one on Tzfat, maybe once a month on Tel Aviv -- not a downpour, just a little drizzle. What deterrent power! It will be a grand accomplishment for Israel's air force. But who's going to win?

And if we send in the infantry and G-d forbid begin to pay the price of combat in cities, villages and mountainous terrain, who's going to win? And if we trounce them and afterwards enter negotiations for the release of our captive soldiers and the release of terrorists in another year -- who won?

Who started this? Who determined these new rules of the game? Who achieved his declared goal of the release of jailed terrorists? The winner.

I?m sorry to say this, but the chattering of all the analysts who talk about "a week until this war is over" does not line up with the facts. The facts are that the initiative is in their hands. We are in the bomb shelters. They are winning and we are losing.

The strategic problem is not the Katyushas. The problem is that the Iranians -- who are activating the Hizballah -- are on their way to bringing us down on our knees. Our intoxication from the world's very temporarily positive approach toward us is pathetic. They also liked us in 1991, when we were sitting with gas masks in sealed rooms. They will like us very much when Iran's new nuclear weapons fly here to take a defeated Israel out of its misery.

"This is not a war," our leaders explain, so that they can absolve themselves from truly dealing with the problem. No, it's not a war. It's a horror movie. The truth is that we are now watching the trailer of the "mother of all wars: and our leadership is clueless. They may buy some more quiet with a "respectable defeat." But the new rules have already been determined. You can shell Haifa and -- coming soon to a theater near you -- Tel Aviv and be a true Islamic hero.

Soon, Iran's nuclear arsenal will be ready for action. The lesson that we must learn now is that a pistol that appears in the first act shoots in the third act -- even if it takes a few years.

Truly Jewish leadership would use the current situation as leverage to perform the painful uprooting of Iran's nuclear capabilities would at the same time solve the problem of the Hezbollah satellite.

But leadership that would prefer to buy a few more years of power and quiet at the price of a ceasefire now mortgages our future and may bring an end to the State of the Jews.

Who's going to win? The real question is: who's leading?

Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.


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