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Dr. Aaron Lerner is co-founder of IMRA, Independent Media Review and Analysis, an Israel-based news organization which provides an extensive digest of media, polls and significant interviews and events relating to the Israeli-Arab conflict.
imra@netvision.net.il
Previous views
IDF Casualties In Context
The Timely War?
Asymmetry by design
Cease Fire Only Means Harder Future
Olmert keeps ignoring reality, but public opinion shift may clip his wings
Is it moral to die for human shields?
Insider reveals shallowness of Sharon-Olmert retreat thinking
Retreat proponents jeopardize future talks
Is "peace for a moment" moral?
Eulogy for a man of deeds
Regional instability: it's not about Israel
No Jordan Option
Security, not settlers or settlements, is the main issue
Olmert's Retreat: Hardly Pragmatism Over Ideology
Does Amir Peretz want to work on his C.V. or for his People?
Seven Questions for the Olmert Administration
Thinking through retreat
Worth making the effort to vote
Olmert's reality gap

Israel calls up more reserve soldiers, but will not expand offensive for now
Some agreements reached at Rome conference on Lebanon, but cease-fire elusive
UNIFIL officer killed in bombing: Hezbollah used position for cover
Security cabinet votes not to expand ground operation
Views: "We will not lose this war"
Nine dead, 25 wounded as fighting continues in Bint Jbeil
Rockets continue to rain on northern Israel; one man seriously wounded
Four UN observers killed by Israel bombs; Annan calls strike "deliberate"
IDF now says Apache helicopter was downed by "friendly fire"

 
If Olmert's team fails to deliver, replace him
By Dr. Aaron Lerner   July 28, 2006


It is hard to tell if the Olmert team is on track in this war.

We have become a media savvy nation over the years and have grown accustomed to the idea that ministers and other officials recite to the press from literally the same daily talking points page when discussing pressing matters.

Now it seems as if the Olmert team members are speaking extemporaneously when they describe Israel's objectives in this war. Not only does each team member say something different - individual officials are inconsistent from presentation to presentation.

Is the Olmert team in touch with the will of the People?

It would appear at this stage that the Israeli public has the maturity to understand that military operations cost lives and is willing to make the sacrifice so long as those operations can be related to the achievement of clear objectives (and are not the byproduct of a bogus morality that makes the lives of Arabs shielding terrorists more sacred than Israeli lives).

The coming days will certainly shed light on these questions.

But one thing must be clear: with all the gravity of the situation, this is hardly the Jewish State's "final exam".

If it turns out in the coming period that Mr. Olmert and his team ultimately project weakness and hesitation rather than strength and determination, a prompt change in the ruling national leadership would give Israel a second shot at re-establishing its standing.

And given the composition of the Kadima Party itself, such a change might be possible, under those circumstances, without even requiring elections, as politicians with a healthy survival instinct scramble to distance themselves from Olmert.

This opportunity for a prompt second shot, though certainly costly, is one of the tremendous advantages Israel enjoys as a democracy.

Hopefully the Olmert team's performance in the coming period will spare Israel the need for such expensive damage control.

Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.


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