Israel's daily newsmagazine
   Israel's daily newsmagazine
| home | security | politics | diplomacy | anti-semitism | culture | travel | views | Shmooze! | today's weblog  
 
Diplomacy > Prisoner swap

   



 
Sign up for free!

E-mail
 
         
       
         












Dr. Aaron Lerner is co-founder of IMRA, Independent Media Review and Analysis, an Israel-based news organization which provides an extensive digest of media, polls and significant interviews and events relating to the Israeli-Arab conflict.
imra@netvision.net.il
Previous views
Turning citizens into "PR fodder"
Bodies for bodies, lives for lives
The Golan, logic, and the Turkish precedent
Olmert puts onus on AG - danger of rush to concessions?
Policymaking based on best-case scenarios is not only dumb. It's dangerous.
The sinister idea behind the evacuation compensation law
Consider the benefits of reoccupying Gaza
Olmert's Amateur Hour Must End
Palestinian conditional non-violence violates the rules of the game
Opposition can't micromanage - but should make recommendations
Thinking beyond 24 hours: why Egypt can't control Gaza
Surreality: Olmert praises himself as Gaza border crumbles
Preparing for the Winograd Report: has Olmert changed his spots?
Correcting Bush's caveat on Israel right to defend itself
Olmert's reckless damage can be repaired by replacing Olmert
Olmert hasn't learned
Defeatism Personified: Olmert accepts that rockets will keep falling on us
Preparing for the Bush visit
Palestinian state undercuts "capability to subdue the enemy swiftly"

Views: She Knows
Rejecting Mossad and Shin Bet advice, Cabinet approves prisoner swap
Israeli POWs: Murdered in Captivity?
Officials concerned Israel may swap terrorist murderer for soldier bodies
Olmert government agrees to drop Gilad Shalit from Gaza deal with Hamas
Israel sends Lebanese-born spy to Hezbollah, gets IDF body parts in return
Views: Bodies for bodies, lives for lives
Views: The Correct Prisoner Exchange
Israel: Kuntar will not be exchanged in prisoner swap

 
Olmert screwed up, again and again
By Dr. Aaron Lerner   July 4, 2008


 Bookmark to del.icio.us

We screwed up in the negotiations with Hezbollah and as a result now have a deal on the table to trade a live terrorist for dead Israelis. Since the Israelis are dead it would have been a nice opportunity to finally stand our ground. But it's too late. So let's approve the deal.

That's basically what Prime Minister Ehud Olmert told his Cabinet last Sunday in his rambling remarks.

Prepared remarks he and his team saw fit to make available to the public both in Hebrew and English on the Prime Minister's website.

But why stop there?

Why not come clean over the ceasefire with Hamas?

We screwed up in the negotiations of the ceasefire with Hamas and as a result found ourselves with a deal that set literally no restrictions on Hamas activities within the Gaza Strip to strengthen their military machine nor any obligation on their part to act against the ongoing smuggling of weapons, explosives and terrorists into Gaza.

The fiasco of the collapse of the Gaza-Egypt border fence created an opportunity to propose concrete solutions to address the challenge of this very porous border -- including the relatively low cost idea of transferring the residents near the border (with appropriate compensation) in order to facilitate the bulldozing of a sterile border zone that would make tunnel building both prohibitively expensive and generate a readily detectable footprint of activity. But we didn't.

Ultimately, our desire to avoid conflict with Egypt rather than the merits of the arrangements forced us to accept the deal.

It is true that the same desire to avoid conflict with Egypt that got us to accept this terrible deal also serves to prevent us from seriously campaigning for Egypt to stop the smuggling (with unrestricted sea based Egypt-Gaza smuggling supplementing the already massive tunnel based movement) but, them's the breaks. We screwed up.

We screwed up in our diplomatic and other activities relating to conditions in Lebanon after the Second Lebanon War. Part of the problem was that, for purposes of domestic politics, it was important for us to claim that the UN Security Council Resolution that ostensibly ended that war was an achievement rather than yet another failure. Complaining too vocally about the post-war Hezbollah build up would have played into the hands of the real enemy (read: Binyamin Netanyahu). We screwed up.

We screwed up in agreeing to talks with Syria under Turkish auspices. The last thing we need is to put ourselves into a situation that we unnecessarily embarrass or disappoint regional superpower Turkey - so now this extraneous consideration may very well dictate the Israeli concessions required to maintain a pace and progress in the negotiations that the Turks find satisfactory. We screwed up.

We screwed up in failing to come to the table with our own proposed schedule of tangible, observable and quantifiable Palestinian security performance goals. Instead we have a PA security force in the West Bank that might be making some progress in enforcing domestic order but is not seriously involved in fighting terror. In point of fact, its goal is to integrate rather than neutralize the gunmen. We screwed up.

And it goes on.

Down the line the Olmert team has screwed up.

And these screw ups can have a devastatingly dangerous cumulative effect.

When will this nightmare end?

Unfortunately, it appears that there are not enough MKs in the Knesset willing to risk their meal ticket.

This leaves indictment as the quick and easy was to stop this ongoing farce.

After the cross examination of Talansky in a few weeks, AG Mazuz could, if he wanted to, issue a one count indictment with an option to add more later.

But would Mazuz do it? Would he pull the plug on a prime minister negotiating concessions to the Arabs?

I fervently hope that the answer is yes.

But given AG Mazuz's track record, I wouldn't bet on it.

Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.


 Talk Back! Respond to this view



Click on the blue headline to read a Talkback comment and respond to it. Click on the icon to send a private email to the talkback writer. The icon appears only if the writer has decided to be contacted. If no popup window appears, please make sure your popup blocker allows israelinsider.com.

 
  | about |   partners |   sponsor |   donate |   news |   subscribe |   contact |